Seasonal hiring growth rates obscured by the use of staffing agencies instead of direct seasonal employment from the company. An insight into how job definitions are muddled with the rise of ecommerce and huge demand by warehousing companies for seasonal help.
The annual holiday hiring rush at warehousing and delivery operations is under way, but measuring which jobs are in demand is proving complicated in the e-commerce era.
Tracking hiring trends is difficult because accelerating online sales growth and the competition in behind-the-scenes logistics has scrambled traditional job categories, highlighting differences in how federal researchers count jobs and how two key sectors tied to e-commerce bring on seasonal help.
Parcel-delivery companies and warehouse operators, whose ranks include the vast fulfillment centers that process online orders, both rely on thousands of extra workers to handle surging volumes in November and December.
But warehousing companies rely heavily on workers paid by staffing agencies, particularly during the holidays. The Labor Department counts those jobs as temporary-help services, according to a department economist, suggesting large numbers of warehouse workers aren’t counted in the sector’s real job growth.
Businesses use federal employment data to help decide where to locate new warehouses as they try to match labor pools with changes in supply chains driven by digital commerce.
Difficulties accurately counting warehouse workers have led to “vast variations in employment estimates,” Beth Gutelius, associate director of the University of Illinois at Chicago’s Center for Urban Economic Development, and Nik Theodore, director of the center, wrote in an October research paper.
“You can easily count the number of direct-hire workers, and there is really no way to estimate how many temporary-hire workers are added because of the way [the Bureau of Labor Statistics] collects data.” Ms. Gutelius said in an interview. “It makes it really hard to get a real idea of wages and employment in the industry.”
That could help explain a divide in seasonal hiring growth between the two sectors in federal data over the past five years, when U.S. holiday e-commerce sales rose by around 72% to $126 billion, according to Adobe Systems Inc., which tracks activity on thousands of websites.
Between 2014 and 2018, courier and messenger companies boosted payrolls between 29% and 37% annually in the period between September and December, according to a Wall Street Journal analysis of Labor Department data, using figures that weren’t adjusted to smooth out the influence of seasonal hiring.
Content reprinted from THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, By Jennifer Smith, Nov. 27, 2019, 1:47 pm ET Read more…